{
  "schema": "cortist.events.v2",
  "asOf": "2026-11-05",
  "records": [
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0001:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0001",
      "originalText": "Jul 21–Aug 11, 2026 | Historical system evaluated | METR and Redwood performed a high-access monitoring red-team pilot.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0001-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0001:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0001",
      "originalText": "Oct 22, 2026 | Findings publicly documented | METR said it had not evaluated OpenAI's reported subsequent fixes.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0001-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0002:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0002",
      "originalText": "Oct 22, 2026 | Research disclosed | Microsoft described sequential-diagnosis benchmarks and its diagnostic orchestrator.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0002-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0002:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0002",
      "originalText": "Oct 23, 2026 | Cortist analysis | The different evaluation denominators and prospective validation limits were documented.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0002-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0003:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0003",
      "originalText": "Oct 22, 2026 | Service announced | Google described the architecture and its future customer-preview plans.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0003-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0004:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0004",
      "originalText": "July 2026 | Cyber-evaluation incident | AISI identified out-of-scope activity during a test.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0004-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0004:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0004",
      "originalText": "Oct 23, 2026 | Technical findings | AISI published its alignment-failure analysis and limitations.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0004-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0005:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0005",
      "originalText": "2026-10-21: ADP publishes the September payroll comparison",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0005-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0006:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0006",
      "originalText": "2026-10-16: Anthropic releases internal employment research",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0006-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0007:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0007",
      "originalText": "2026-10-19: Modal publishes its first Vera benchmark",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0007-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0008:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0008",
      "originalText": "2026-09-20: reported incident; 2026-10-01: reported restart; 2026-10-23: public disclosure",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0008-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0009:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0009",
      "originalText": "2026-10-14: IEA publishes its policy inventory",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0009-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0010:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0010",
      "originalText": "2026-10-15: evaluator arrangement announced; 2026-10-16: terms clarification noted",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0010-v1.json",
      "kind": "BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0011:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0011",
      "originalText": "2026-10 (mid-month) | Controlled security campaign | OpenAI reports finding, reproducing and assessing Linux kernel vulnerabilities.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0011-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0011:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0011",
      "originalText": "2026-11-04 | Company report published | 948 distinct local privilege-escalation vulnerabilities reported; merged fix count not independently audited.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0011-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0012:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0012",
      "originalText": "2026-11-04 | Nature version of record | Authors present the 21-million-pair structure-guided pretraining approach and published benchmarks.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0012-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0012:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0012",
      "originalText": "2026-11-04 | Research artifacts linked | Code, model checkpoints and training data availability documented; independent reproduction remains open.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0012-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0013:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0013",
      "originalText": "2026-11-04 | Proposed campus announced | Lambda identifies a planned $33.1B investment and developer Cloverleaf.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0013-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0013:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0013",
      "originalText": "2027-Q1 (target) | Construction milestone | Projected start, not yet an observed construction result.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0013-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0014:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0014",
      "originalText": "2026-11-02 | Benchmark preprint | Authors release 240-task/8-dimension research and report the strongest model score of 82.2.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0014-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0014:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0014",
      "originalText": "2026-11-05 | Cortist baseline | External generalization and independently reproduced results remain to be demonstrated.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0014-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0015:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0015",
      "originalText": "2026-11-03 | Technical preprint published | Authors report selected short-context task performance and up-to-sevenfold later-token cost effects.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0015-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0015:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0015",
      "originalText": "2026-11-05 | Cortist baseline | Independent provider-level cost and accuracy replication outstanding.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0015-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0016:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0016",
      "originalText": "2026-10-02 | Training target announced | Anthropic commits $100M and targets 10,000 Frontier Deployed Engineers by end 2027.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0016-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0016:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0016",
      "originalText": "2027-12-31 | Target deadline | Completion and credential counts must be documented, not assumed.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0016-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0017:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0017",
      "originalText": "2026-10-19 | Public policy milestone added | Anthropic sets a 15 December 2026 target for an embedded-evaluators policy proposal.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0017-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0017:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0017",
      "originalText": "2026-12-15 | Publication due | Assess publication date and document scope; adoption is a separate question.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0017-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0018:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0018",
      "originalText": "2026-10-27 | Model and restricted preview announced | Google describes trusted-tester Genie 4 access and later broader availability.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0018-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0018:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0018",
      "originalText": "2026-11-05 | Cortist baseline | No general-release verification is claimed for this record.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0018-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0019:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0019",
      "originalText": "2026-11-03 | Alignment research published | OpenAI reports eval-to-deployment differences across six models, 10.2–37.4 percentage points.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0019-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0019:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0019",
      "originalText": "2026-11-05 | Cortist baseline | External validity and independent replication not yet established.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0019-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0020:v1:01",
      "claimId": "CL-0020",
      "originalText": "2026-04-16 | IEA global outlook published | Central projection roughly 950 TWh data-center electricity demand in 2030.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0020-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    },
    {
      "id": "event:CL-0020:v1:02",
      "claimId": "CL-0020",
      "originalText": "2030-12-31 | Evaluation year closes | Comparable measured electricity data should be used rather than rewriting the forecast.",
      "originalSnapshotUrl": "https://cortist.com/data/reality-ledger/records/cl-0020-v1.json",
      "kind": "NEW_20261105_BASELINE_EVENT",
      "newEvidence": false
    }
  ]
}