{
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "id": "J-001",
  "created_date": "2026-10-23",
  "state": "editorial_candidate",
  "official_forecast": false,
  "scoring_eligible": false,
  "probability": null,
  "locked_at_utc": null,
  "question": "Will early-career hiring in AI-exposed occupations diverge from a preregistered comparison group by 2030?",
  "proposed_deadline": "2030-12-31",
  "unresolved": [
    "Define exact exposed occupations and cohort",
    "Define threshold and comparison group",
    "Preregister data sources and independent validation",
    "External independent review and anchoring"
  ],
  "sources": [
    "https://digitaleconomy.stanford.edu/news/canariesaug26/"
  ]
}