{
  "schemaVersion": "1.1",
  "recordId": "CL-0005",
  "snapshotVersion": 1,
  "snapshotCreated": "2026-10-25",
  "sourcePublicationDate": "2026-10-21",
  "topic": "AI & Jobs",
  "organization": "ADP Research / Stanford",
  "claim": "What does the 3.7% decline in AI-exposed young-worker jobs prove?",
  "status": "Payroll pattern documented",
  "state": "documented",
  "sourceFinding": "ADP reported a September 2026 year-over-year 3.7% employment decline for US ages 22–25 in highly AI-exposed occupations, versus a 0.2% increase in least-exposed jobs.",
  "evidenceLimits": "Observational payroll trends do not prove AI caused the decline; exposure differs from measured displacement.",
  "nextEvidenceTrigger": "Later payroll releases and research separating AI adoption from other labor-market drivers.",
  "sources": [
    {
      "name": "ADP Research September 2026 payroll update",
      "url": "https://www.adpresearch.com/research/canaries-dashboard-employment-in-ai-exposed-occupations-shrank-in-september",
      "published": "2026-10-21"
    }
  ],
  "sourceTimeline": "2026-10-21: ADP publishes the September payroll comparison",
  "linkedNews": "https://cortist.com/news/adp-ai-exposed-young-workers-september-2026/",
  "topicUrl": "https://cortist.com/ai-and-jobs/",
  "trackedPromise": null,
  "integrityRule": "Append-only revisions: never overwrite this snapshot. Future evidence changes require a new version and review."
}