{
  "schema_version": "1.0",
  "id": "X-001",
  "date": "2026-10-22",
  "state": "editorial_draft",
  "scoring_eligible": false,
  "official_forecast": false,
  "locked_at_utc": null,
  "probability": null,
  "question": "Will AI cause human extinction by 31 December 2100 at 23:59 UTC?",
  "deadline_utc": "2100-12-31T23:59:00Z",
  "open_issues": [
    "Meaning of AI causal attribution",
    "No human adjudicators would survive literal extinction",
    "Evidence standard for a global outcome",
    "Prospective independent resolution rules",
    "External time attestation"
  ],
  "note": "Not an official Cortist F-series forecast or calibrated numerical probability."
}