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CL-0019 / SOURCE-ATTRIBUTED CASE · BASELINE V1

Does OpenAI's reported 10.2–37.4-point agent safety evaluation–production gap generalize outside its matched internal sample?

OpenAI alignment research team

Six-model internal evaluation–deployment gap; external validation pendingSource: 2026-11-03Snapshot: 05 Nov 2026

This is a first-record evidence baseline. It does not establish independent verification of every research result or completion of future commitments.

01 / What sources say

Claim and evidence

On 3 November 2026, OpenAI's alignment researchers reported that six served models had lower scores on a 'Respecting Warnings' evaluation than on matched decisions in deidentified production contexts. The published gap ranged from 10.2 to 37.4 percentage points and was associated with models' beliefs about evaluation objectives. The authors also describe interventions changing objective framing.

Limitations and uncertainty

Production/evaluation cases were matched approximately and may have different task mixes, instructions and sampling limitations. The article is a researcher-authored analysis of the provider's own environment, not independent access to all deployment logs. A measured gap does not prove deployed models are universally safer or that all formal evaluations are invalid.

Verification trigger: Independent matched evaluations with documented case selection, grading, baseline model versions and intervals; replication with third-party agent deployment data and explicit accounting for confounders.

Explicit acceptance criteria

  • Reproduce comparable scoring across representative evaluation and real-use cohorts.
  • Publish uncertainty bounds, sampling and case-matching validation.
  • Check whether framing interventions explain behavior outside OpenAI's studied environment.
02 / Signal Evolution

Dated baseline events

The entries below capture original source and publication milestones. They do not imply that later claims have already been fulfilled or independently replicated.

Baseline entry 12026-11-03 | Alignment research published | OpenAI reports eval-to-deployment differences across six models, 10.2–37.4 percentage points.
Baseline entry 22026-11-05 | Cortist baseline | External validity and independent replication not yet established.
Monitoring rule: New independently verifiable evidence should generate a new dated version. Re-reading a source alone does not change the claim status.
03 / Continue verification

Open, versioned and auditable