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CORTIST / EVIDENCE GRAPH · OPEN DATA V2.0

Every claim
has a history.

Connect what AI organizations said, the original evidence, Cortist analysis, unanswered questions and future verification. Follow the record instead of the headline.

Evidence boundaries: Original cases CL-0001–CL-0010 preserve their October 25 snapshots; the added cases CL-0011–CL-0020 have first-record baselines dated November 5. This graph does not independently reconfirm each claim today, upgrade provisional forecasts or mark commitments fulfilled.

20Tracked claims
24Distinct primary-source links
60Linked editorial records
0Official forecasts scored
01 / Traceable cases

The original claims, connected.

Ten immutable Ledger v1 records and ten newly versioned November baselines are connected to original sources, related Cortist articles and their dated histories. Every case keeps its original source, status and missing-evidence criteria visible.

20 claims
CL-0011 · Maintainer-accepted fixes not independently counted

How many of OpenAI's 948 reported Linux root-exploit findings lead to independently verified and deployed fixes?

OpenAI · AI Cybersecurity

Source 2026-11-04 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0012 · Peer-reviewed benchmark published; outside reproduction pending

Will the open structRFM RNA model's reported structure-prediction gains replicate on independent RNA targets?

structRFM research authors · AI & Science

Source 2026-11-04 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0013 · $33.1B campus planned; grid approval and delivery pending

Will Lambda's proposed $33.1 billion Alabama data-center campus deliver its announced power, jobs and community commitments?

Lambda / Cloverleaf Infrastructure · AI & Energy

Source 2026-11-04 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0014 · 240-task benchmark preprint; independent reproduction pending

Do agents retain the reported teamwork weaknesses when the Collaborative Intelligence benchmark is reproduced independently?

Sean Wu and collaborating researchers · AI Agents

Source 2026-11-02 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0015 · Technical-report findings; cross-provider replication pending

Can short-context compaction match long-context agent accuracy with lower real-world serving costs?

NVIDIA-affiliated research authors · AI Chips & Compute

Source 2026-11-03 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0016 · 10,000-engineer training target due end-2027

Will Anthropic's Claude Frontier Academy actually train 10,000 deployed engineers by the end of 2027?

Anthropic · AI & Jobs

Source 2026-10-02 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0017 · Embedded-evaluator policy proposal due 15 Dec 2026

Will Anthropic publish its promised policy proposal for embedded independent AI evaluators by 15 December 2026?

Anthropic · AI & Governance

Source 2026-10-19 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0018 · Genie 4 preview restricted; broader release pending

When will Google's Genie 4 move beyond trusted research testers to documented consumer and developer access?

Google DeepMind · AGI / World Models

Source 2026-10-27 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0019 · Six-model internal evaluation–deployment gap; external validation pending

Does OpenAI's reported 10.2–37.4-point agent safety evaluation–production gap generalize outside its matched internal sample?

OpenAI alignment research team · AI Safety

Source 2026-11-03 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0020 · IEA projection: 950 TWh data-center electricity by 2030

Will global data-center electricity demand approach the IEA's projected 950 TWh in 2030?

International Energy Agency · AI & Energy

Source 2026-04-16 · Baseline 5 Nov 2026Open evidence history →
CL-0001 · Independent re-test pending

Were OpenAI's monitoring flaws independently re-tested after the reported fixes?

OpenAI / METR / Redwood Research ·

Source: 2026-10-22 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0002 · Prospective evidence pending

Do MAI-DxO's retrospective results establish benefits for real patients?

Microsoft AI ·

Source: 2026-10-22 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0003 · Customer preview pending

When can customers independently test Google Agent Compute Engine?

Google Cloud ·

Source: 2026-10-22 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0004 · Evaluation evidence published

What did AISI's Mythos 5 incident investigation establish?

UK AI Security Institute / Anthropic ·

Source: 2026-10-23 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0005 · Payroll pattern documented

What does the 3.7% decline in AI-exposed young-worker jobs prove?

ADP Research / Stanford ·

Source: 2026-10-21 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0006 · Company workforce research

Do Anthropic's junior hiring changes prove AI agents displaced workers?

Anthropic ·

Source: 2026-10-16 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0007 · Rollout and replication pending

Will NVIDIA Vera's agent-sandbox throughput advantage hold for customers?

Modal / NVIDIA ·

Source: 2026-10-19 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0008 · External validation pending

Have OpenAI's updated frontier-training containment controls passed independent review?

OpenAI ·

Source: 2026-10-23 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0009 · Policy inventory documented

Do 134 IEA data-centre grid policies show that the measures work?

International Energy Agency ·

Source: 2026-10-14 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
CL-0010 · Independent METR report pending

Will METR publish independent safety evaluations after gaining access to Anthropic?

Anthropic / METR ·

Source: 2026-10-15 · Original snapshot: 2026-10-25Open evidence history →
01B / Source verification

Evidence coverage, without false certainty.

Our 5 November scheduled audit re-read primary sources for 2 of the 10 original claim cases. The other eight were not rechecked in that run. Source review is not proof that an underlying AI claim is resolved.

SOURCE WATCH · 05 NOV 2026

2 checked · 8 not rechecked

Inspect every case, its historical status, source review result and the next evidence requirement. The dashboard makes verification gaps visible.

View the verification matrix →
INDEPENDENT DISTRIBUTION

Hugging Face: blocked, not out of sync

The public readback was blocked during the audit. Last verified comparison: 2 November. No discrepancy was established and no sync success is claimed.

Open the dated QA record →

Dated report, not real-time verification or a scored confidence rating. The original October 2026 claim statuses are preserved; new validated evidence would require append-only versions.

02 / Promise tracker

Promises remain open until outcomes can be checked.

Three original commitments are preserved and four new commitments are added. None is marked fulfilled without dated evidence.

CL-0013 · UNRESOLVED

Will Lambda's proposed $33.1 billion Alabama data-center campus deliver its announced power, jobs and community commitments?

Lambda / Cloverleaf Infrastructure

Original due: 2027-Q1 planned construction start; longer commitments through 2049View evidence trail →
CL-0016 · UNRESOLVED

Will Anthropic's Claude Frontier Academy actually train 10,000 deployed engineers by the end of 2027?

Anthropic

Original due: 2027-12-31View evidence trail →
CL-0017 · UNRESOLVED

Will Anthropic publish its promised policy proposal for embedded independent AI evaluators by 15 December 2026?

Anthropic

Original due: 2026-12-15View evidence trail →
CL-0018 · UNRESOLVED

When will Google's Genie 4 move beyond trusted research testers to documented consumer and developer access?

Google DeepMind

Original due: No fixed public date announcedView evidence trail →
CL-0003 · Customer preview pending

Make Agent Compute Engine available for customers to preview

Google Cloud

Original timing: Coming months after 22 October 2026; no firm dateView tracked claim →
CL-0007 · Rollout and replication pending

Roll out Vera CPU support for Modal Sandboxes

Modal / NVIDIA

Original timing: no firm date statedView tracked claim →
CL-0010 · Independent METR report pending

METR will publish independent risk-assessment findings

Anthropic / METR

Original timing: no fixed publication dateView tracked claim →

Commitments have varied specificity; tracking a statement does not certify its enforceability or imply that a due date was established.

03 / Forecast accountability

A track record starts before the result.

Cortist currently has two separately approved, public, locked numeric milestone forecasts. Both remain unscored. Earlier exploratory research forecasts are not retroactively promoted to scored predictions.

LOCKED / NOT SCORED

CM-003-20261027-v1

20% · Editorially approved probability; cutoff 2027-10-27T23:59:59Z

Independently reviewed: no · Scored: noRead original locked forecast →
LOCKED / NOT SCORED

CM-004-20261027-v1

15% · Editorially approved probability; cutoff 2027-10-27T23:59:59Z

Independently reviewed: no · Scored: noRead original locked forecast →
04 / The repeatable method

Not another leaderboard.

The graph records provenance, not a numerical quality score for companies. The historic daily check of 2 of 10 original cases below predates the newly added November case baseline. New source material matters only when it changes a precisely defined claim.

01 / CAPTURE

Quote the source

Original author, date, link and stable source identity.

02 / FIX THE BASELINE

Preserve history

Immutable versions and SHA-256 snapshot references.

03 / WATCH

Rotate source checks

Small source-first reviews; log blocks honestly.

04 / VERIFY

Append only changes

Require material evidence before a new status or resolution.

Current monitoring is not a new finding. On 5 November, the scheduled QA re-read sources for 2 of 10 Ledger cases. No material post-baseline Ledger revision was recorded. The other cases were not independently rechecked in that same run.
05 / Open data and provenance

Inspect the underlying relationships.

This read-only version connects 175 nodes with 245 explicit edges and 33 dated timeline entries. Source URLs, snapshot hashes and original cases remain inspectable.

Cortist-authored data descriptions may be reusable subject to applicable attribution terms. Links to third-party publications do not grant rights to republish their original works. Version 1.0 is a dated snapshot, not a real-time status API.